Both Democrats and Republicans are desperately trying to corner
the youth vote - a segment of the population that, as a rule,
has trouble getting themselves to the polls. (Darn kids.) But
while the actual youth vote might be up for grabs, in one crucial
way George W. Bush has a lot in common with millions of American
teenagers: He has an identity crisis.
Well, perhaps that's not a fair statement. Mr. Bush
certainly knows who he is. But it seems that some in
the media don't. The question for certain commentators seems
to come down to this question: Which past president does George
W. Bush most closely resemble?
There's quite a case for
a family resemblance. After all, Bush's father was the
forty-first president. We have the benefit of a prior Bush
administration to compare and contrast with the current one.
The two president's backgrounds are certainly similar. Both
are wealthy sons who belong to politically connected
families. Both went to Yale. Both have presided over
hostilities in Iraq. And, of course, both
ties to powerful Saudi business interests.
But there is a crucial difference between just how George
W. Bush and his father went to war. Bush senior has been
praised for his
coalition building in the days leading up to the first
Gulf War. Once the team was in place actions began under a
United Nations mandate. Junior on the other hand decided to
take the nation to war with rather
anemic international support - most notably was the
"Coalition of the Willing's" lack Arab members. There was
also no mandate from the U.N. Bush senior had an advantage,
in that Iraq managed to anger the entire world by invading
Kuwait. Too bad for his son that Iraq had been sitting around
quietly for the past decade when war was scheduled to begin.
So, George W. Bush doesn't quite resemble his father as
closely as some might like. Perhaps he's more like Ronald
Reagan. Both his
enemies and his
supporters seem to think so. The problem is that Reagan's legacy has
been devoured by ideologues on both sides. Democrats saw him
as none too bright pretender with a knack for public speaking.
To Republicans he's a little bit more than human - a saint
whose name must be plastered
on
landmarks all over the country. In both cases, the
man's myth has far outgrown his actual policies.
But one thing that is certain about Ronald Reagan: he was
a hell of an orator. George W. Bush has proved time and
time again that he
does not excel at this particular art. Over the past four
years, he's only given a dozen
nationally televised press conferences. After the latest one even a few die-hard
conservatives, like Bill Kristol,
managed to find fault. Even if John F. Kennedy was the first true media president,
Reagan at least perfected the archetype.
It's safe to say then that Bush is not quite like Reagan.
Perhaps Bush has more in common with that albatross
of the Republican party, Richard Nixon. His opponents
certainly want you to think so, but the only person whose
actually come out and
said it was former council to Nixon, John Dean. He
even went as far as to call his newest book
Worse Than Watergate. In a slightly more subtle attack, Ted Kennedy tried to paint Bush with Nixonian colors by saying that
Iraq was Bush's Vietnam. Bush supporters were quick to point out that Ted's brother was the guy who actually sent U.S. troops to that embattled nation, which deflected the comment somewhat. And unless we find out that we've been illegally bombing Syria or Iran, it's not likely that the accusation would be likely to stick anyway.
But, there's hope yet for a Nixon/Bush comparison. The Bush
administration has spent the past 18 months trying to claim
that the WMD debacle in Iraq was an intelligence failure, not
a deliberate lie. Nobody would argue that Nixon deceived the
American people - we have the White House tapes to prove it.
But, lacking any evidence to the contrary, Bush can always
hide behind the old, "it's not a lie if you believe it"
canard. The problem is that several former administration
officials keep
coming forward to tell the American public that the
president had been just
itching to invade Iraq - justifiably or not.
The Nixon comparison by no means ironclad, but we can't
rule it out as we did with the others. But don't be surprised
of the Democrats choose not to press it very hard. After all,
Nixon
was a two-term president, and unless a miracle
happens in this year's
Congressional races, there's no hope for impeachment proceedings.
So, which president does George W. Bush most closely resemble?
It will probably be years before we know for sure. As Bush
administration officials often say,
hindsight is 20/20. In the end history will decide how
the we view his presidency. Of course, in November, we'll
determine whether the Bush administration will be history or
current events.
-B. C. Silvia
-4/21/2004